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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Extends Winning Streak As 3-Session Gain Tops +13% On The Shoulders Of Improved Supply/Demand Fundamentals; Gas Prices Continue To Defy Gravity As Overvalutions Widen; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today With Slightly Bullish Injection Expected
Tuesday, May 7, 2024
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas picked up where it left off last week and rallied sharply for a third straight session to open the week on a positive note. The front-month June 2024 contract traded as high as $2.26/MMBTU before settling up 5 cents or 2.5% at $2.20/MMBTU. It was the highest close since January 26. In the past three sessions alone, the commodity is up +13.6%.
Natural gas prices continued to be driven higher by improving fundamentals. As discussed yesterday, powerburn has improved significantly over the past 2 weeks as temperatures have warmed and winds have slackened. Despite a weaker day yesterday, powerburn is still up +3.6 BCF/day versus last year over the past week. And while LNG exports continue to trail year-ago levels, feedgas demand has recovered to between 12.0-12.5 BCF/day, within 1 BCF/day of 2023 levels. Importantly, the Freeport facility, which contributed much of April’s export slump, has finally seen exports recovering from near zero for several days in April to back...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
